Day 359: Mixed US Signals on Crimea, Zelenskyy Rules Out Land Concessions

Image copyright: Reuters [via Reuters]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Putin's unprovoked invasion of Ukraine was launched on the pretext of multiple lies, including that Russian speakers in Donetsk were facing a "genocide" and that NATO expansion was threatening Moscow. America and the West must continue to push back against these falsehoods and protect Ukraine's sovereignty from Putin's anti-democratic aspirations.

Establishment-critical narrative

Numerous diplomats through the years have warned that bringing Ukraine into the NATO sphere of influence was an unacceptable prospect for Russia and that it would lead to a conflict with disastrous consequences. Russia's concerns must be listened to if we're ever going to reach a negotiated settlement for this tragic conflict.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance that Ukraine will join NATO before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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