How Ukraine’s Trains Kept Running Despite Bombs, Blackouts, and Biden
WiredJUL 2023
Day 366: Zelenskyy Pledges Ukrainian Victory on One-Year Anniversary of Invasion
Image copyright: Ukrainian Presidential Press Office [via AP News]
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
One year into Russia's brutal invasion of Ukraine, allowing Moscow to achieve its goals and subvert the norms of international law and territorial sovereignty would be a moral travesty. The West must ensure Ukraine is well armed so that it can drive Russia out and prevent it from launching further invasions.
Establishment-critical narrative
Since the war began, Western countries have poured fuel to the fire by relentlessly providing weapons to Ukraine — motivated by a desire to degrade Russia on the world stage, the West has dragged out the conflict rather than sought mediation. Ukrainians have paid the price for this with the destruction of their homeland and energy infrastructure, as well as through the deaths of thousands of soldiers. It's time to seek a political settlement.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 24% chance that there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
