EU Launches China EV Subsidy Probe

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The Spin

Anti-China narrative

The EU cannot stand by while China floods global markets with artificially cheap electric vehicles. Chinese EV manufacturers undercut European companies not because they're better at it, but because their government overflows the market with cash. Furthermore, this is only an investigation, so China should save its complaints until a report is issued.

Pro-China narrative

If the EU were to examine the development of China's electric vehicle industry objectively, it would find that Chinese EVs generally retail for nearly twice as much in Europe as they do in China, not because of state subsidies but because of the highly competitive industrial supply chain resulting from strong market competition. The EU's accusations have nothing to do with reality — they're only about protectionism.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that at least 88.42% of new car sales in China will be electric by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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