Google’s Gemini isn’t the generative AI model we expected
TechCrunchJUL 2023
The Spin
Narrative A
While the jury is still out on whether GPT-4 or Bard has a higher potential, Google's Gemini model seems to to outperforming its OpenAI counterpart at the current moment. Not only has it outscored the competition in 30 of 32 benchmarks, but it can respond to code, audio, images, and videos, not all of which can be processed by GPT. To top it all off, Bard's Gemini model is now the only AI model easily integrated into smartphones.
Narrative B
While Bard has certainly progressed since launching, ChatGPT's earlier release and Microsoft's significant investment propelled it ahead in user base and technological advancement. Google's hurried and flawed announcement of Bard further cemented ChatGPT's lead, while key personnel departures from Google due to safety concerns hindered its progress. Technological superiority doesn't matter if Google can't steal users from OpenAI.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 34% chance that AI will be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the US before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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