India to Send Astronaut to the Moon by 2040

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The Spin

Narrative A

With its sights firmly set on the Moon and beyond, India is becoming a prominent player in space research and is set to compete with the US and China to produce space technology.

Narrative B

While a crewed mission to the Moon would put India into an exclusive club, carrying humans on the lunar surface and bringing them back is fraught with risks India may not be equipped to take.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 0.1% chance that India will have a successful crewed moon landing before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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