The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

In preventing Ukraine from striking Russia's Black Sea fleet, Musk allowed those ships to launch further missile attacks on Ukraine, thus allowing them to inflict more destruction and death upon Ukrainian civilians.

Pro-Russia narrative

Musk was quite right to prevent Ukraine from attacking Russia's Black Sea fleet in Crimea. Such an attack would've been a major escalation of the war and would've forced Russia to respond accordingly.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance that Ukraine will officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory (Luhansk, Donetsk or Crimea) as independent before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Public Figures


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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