Report: Russia Advances in 4 Parts of Ukraine

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The Facts

  • Russian forces in Ukraine advanced in at least four areas of the frontline, according to the latest analysis from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

  • ISW, a US military-affiliated think tank that tracks battlefield progress in the war, said on Tuesday that over the past day of fighting, Russia made confirmed gains near the city of Kupyansk in the Kharkiv region, as well as near the cities of Bakhmut and Avdiivka in Donetsk. Russia also made a confirmed advance southwest of Donetsk City.


The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

There will be peace in Ukraine when Russia achieves its objectives. Those objectives remain unchanged from the start of the special military operation — those being the denazification of Ukraine, its demilitarization, as well as the guaranteeing of the country's neutral status.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Despite the setbacks for Ukraine, Kyiv is still confident that it can achieve military victory. Ukraine is also confident it will receive the weapons it needs from the US and the West early next year. While Putin is no closer to achieving his goals, Ukraine is now closer on the path to EU integration.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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