Russia Makes Continued Gains; Ukraine Strikes Russian Ship

Image copyright: Libkos / Contributor [via Getty Images]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukrainian forces continue to weaken Russia's grip on occupied Crimea, this time destroying a Russian landing ship in the port of Feodosia. These types of attacks will continue until Crimea is liberated.

Pro-Russia narrative

This Ukrainian attack damaged the landing ship, not destroyed it. It also killed one person and injured two more. Russia's air force shot down the two Ukrainian planes responsible for carrying out the attack.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 0.1% chance that Ukraine will officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory (Luhansk, Donetsk or Crimea) as independent before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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