Russian Air Defense Destroyed in Further Attack on Crimea, Claims Ukraine

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The Facts

  • In the second major attack on Crimea in two days, Ukraine on Thursday claimed to have destroyed a Russian air defense system on the peninsula, which was annexed by Russia in 2014.

  • According to a source in the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU), speaking to Ukrainska Pravda, Kyiv used two Neptune missiles in the attack and targeted Russia's S300/400 Triumf system in the western Crimean city of Yevpatoria.


The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

A Russian missile defense system was destroyed in a significant and successful Ukrainian attack on Yevpatoria on Thursday. Evidently, despite propagandist Kremlin claims to the contrary, the peninsula is vulnerable to attack and is less secure than Moscow would have its supporters believe.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russian air defenses shot down 11 drones in Thursday's attack on Crimea and there were no reports of damage resulting from the incident. Kyiv's claims of success come from a place of desperation, as their prospects of military victory continue to dwindle in the face of Russian forces.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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