Drought and heavy rain events occurred more often in Earth’s hottest years, study says
Washington PostJUL 2023
The Spin
Narrative A
Though wildfires are common in Spain during the summer months, their appearance during March is concerning experts who attribute it to climate change. Spain is one of the EU countries most at risk from the climate crisis, and rainfall has dropped by around 35% over the past 50 years. Spain is in for another hot, climate-catalyzed summer.
Narrative B
It's easy to dismiss any extreme weather event as a consequence of climate change, but in reality, they're usually influenced by a myriad of factors that have nothing to do with such beliefs. More research is needed before we can establish any direct causal link between the two.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 45% chance that wildfires will destroy a total exceeding 10Mha of global tree cover in any year, by the end of 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
