Taiwan Says F-16 Deliveries Delayed, Working to Minimize Damage

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The Spin

Anti-China narrative

China is a threat to the US, and American foreign policy needs to address this. By supporting Taiwan, the US is helping to protect democracy abroad and challenge the dominant power in the region.

Pro-China narrative

Taiwan is rightfully a Chinese sovereign territory. The US has official diplomatic ties with China and only unofficial diplomatic ties with Taiwan. American political and military support of Taiwan needs to stop if Washington wants to avoid escalating tensions.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 45% chance that the People's Republic of China will have annexed at least half of Taiwan by 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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