Taliban Minister Raises Refugee Assets Issue During Pakistan Visit

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The Spin

Narrative A

Pakistan will not compromise in its expulsion of illegal immigrants from the country, a policy that is not exclusive to Afghan nationals. While some complaints have occurred, the exodus of undocumented migrants has on the whole been conducted with respect. Centers providing food and medicine continue to remain open for individuals and families as they prepare for the next step of their life outside of Pakistan.

Narrative B

While Pakistan claims that its abrupt expulsion of Afghans is about upholding security concerns, Islamabad risks increasing animosity and the potential for exploited disillusioned migrants. By swiftly pushing thousands out of the country without allowing time to prepare for such a reality, despite many potentially having lived there for decades, Pakistan is likely paving the way for future retaliatory actions.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 81% chance that Pakistan will recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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