Ukraine: Militia From Cross-Border Attack on Russia Vows to Return

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The Facts

  • A militia leader that carried out a cross-border lurch into Russia's Belgorod region earlier this week has vowed to launch more incursions into Russian territory.

  • Speaking to reporters in Ukraine, Denis Kapustin, also known as "Denis Nikitin," commander of the Russian Volunteer Corps (RVC), said: "I think you will see us again on that side. I cannot reveal those upcoming things, I cannot even reveal the direction. The... border is pretty long, yet again there will be a spot where things will get hot."


The Spin

Pro-Russia narrative

Not only did Ukraine coordinate these attacks in the Belgorod region, they were assisted by the US whose satellites were carrying out surveillance in the region days before the attack. Russia will decisively deal with these threats.

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Ukraine's military shared intelligence with these militia groups — who have the same objective of defeating Putin — but in no way did it support these groups militarily or provide them with weaponry for their attacks.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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