US Offers $5M Reward for Insight Into Ecuador Election Assassination

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Washington is completely right to ramp up security cooperation with Quito to show that lawful methods do work against violent drug gangs to prevent Ecuador — and Latin America as a whole — from resorting to authoritarian ideas both from the right and the left, as the organized crime poses a significant threat to democracies below the Rio Grande.

Establishment-critical narrative

One must be disturbingly naive at best to believe that further US interference is what Ecuador needs after the killing of a presidential candidate who had long been a CIA asset. Though Villavicencio fabricated lies to boost the Russiagate invention and resolutely obstructed the impeachment of US-backed Guillermo Lasso, his candidacy had turned him into a liability for the Agency.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 60% chance that Ecuador's current state of emergency will be extended beyond 60 days, according to the Metaculus prediction community


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO