'AI Safety Clock' Launches

Above: "Doomsday Clock" displayed Feb. 27, 2002 at the University of Chicago. Image copyright: Tim Boyle/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Narrative A

The AI Safety Clock is a symbolic attempt to highlight the urgent need for domestic and international actors alike to wake up and acknowledge the real risks the new technology poses to the world. Nations must act now to ensure AI is aligned with our goals so that we can reap the multitude of benefits and avoid disaster.

Narrative B

This initiative is yet another example of sensationalist AI doomerism. Unlike the Doomsday Clock, IMD's AI Safety Clock has little scientific merit. Such fearmongering over a hypothetical future AI catastrophe only serves to distract from real, current AI challenges like resource consumption, labor exploitation, and algorithmic bias.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 41% chance that a US President's State of the Union address will mention the issue of AI existential risk before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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