Australia's Government Wins High Court Deportation Challenge

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The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

This ruling leaves a disappointing stain on Australia's legacy for human rights. Giving ASF17 a "Sophie's choice" between indefinite detention or facing persecution in Iran is no real choice at all. This is a devastating ruling for ASF17 and the hundreds of other detainees facing similar conditions.

Pro-establishment narrative

This ruling is in line with previous High Court decisions about immigration detention and deportation. Upholding this ruling reaffirms the government's authority to detain individuals who refuse to cooperate with deportation efforts, and deter others that refuse to comply with immigration laws.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 69% chance that when the Coalition next governs Australia, it will be in majority, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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