Baghdad: US Strike Kills Iran-Backed Militia Leader

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The message from Washington is clear: if US forces are attacked, it will do everything it takes to protect its troops and interests. The US has no intention of backing down when challenged, and those responsible will be held accountable with a multi-tiered response.

Establishment-critical narrative

While Iraq may have previously supported the presence of US troops in the fight against the Islamic State, America's broadening regional conflicts have now caused more death and destruction in the country than there otherwise would be. It's time for the US to remove its 2.5k troops from Iraq.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 13% chance the US and Iran will be primary actors on opposite sides of war before 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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