Brazil: Police Recommend Criminal Charges Against Bolsonaro

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The Spin

Left narrative

This is great news. Brazilian police wouldn't have pursued this case so far if there wasn't plenty of evidence of wrongdoing. There's a strong chance that Bolsonaro will be held accountable as long as Brazilian authorities continue to pursue justice.

Right narrative

It's obvious Pres. Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva Lula, a corrupt leftist career politician, is using the judicial system to punish his predecessor. Right-leaning figures across the nation are being censored, and the legal system is increasingly being used as a weapon against opponents.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 54% chance that Lula da Silva will be reelected as Brazil's president in October 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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