Dozens of audios reveal high-ranking Brazilian officers pressured Bolsonaro to stage a coup
NBCNOV 2024
Brazil: Thousands Attend Bolsonaro Rally Amid Coup Probe
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Image copyright: Rovena Rosa/Agência Brasil
The Spin
Left narrative
Even if the coup failed, accountability for what happened in Brazil isn't only a matter of justice but is crucial for the future of the country's democracy. The current investigation has revealed a coordinated, multi-pronged attempt by Bolsonaro and his accomplices to undermine the election's result. Despite the many similarities to the US Jan. 6 Capitol riots, the political influence of Brazil's military cannot be underestimated, and this is a concern that politicians must confront in the future.
Right narrative
You don't have to be a Bolsonaro supporter to see that Lula is using the judicial system as a means to punish his predecessor. Lula is a leftist career politician who was convicted on corruption charges before they were stunningly reversed by activist judges. Right-leaning figures across the nation are being censored, and checks and balances are being curtailed as the legal system is increasingly used as a weapon against opponents. We must be skeptical about charges against Bolsonaro in this environment.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 20% chance that Brazil will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
