China Warns of 'Downward Spiral' Risk in US-PRC Relations

Image copyright: Andy Wong/Pool/Getty Images News via Getty Images (Feb. 11, 2015)

The Facts

  • China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi cautioned the US on Friday against crossing the country's "red lines" in terms of sovereignty, security, or development, and warned of a "downward spiral" in bilateral relations.

  • Wang told US Secretary of State Antony Blinken that while relations were stabilizing, they were being tested by some issues and claiming that China's development was being suppressed and its primary national interests challenged.


The Spin

Anti-China narrative

China's actions, such as maritime disputes with the Philippines and military activities near Taiwan and India, are prompting neighboring countries to bolster defenses and form alliances. China's aspirations as a dominant power are reshaping regional dynamics, leading to a rise in defense spending and security cooperation among smaller nations. It is, therefore, China that is turning itself into the world's enemy.

Pro-China narrative

The strained US-China relationship, marked by trade tariffs and security alliances, has complicated their ties. The US-China dynamic reflects power struggles and differing ideologies. To foster collaboration, a shift from confrontation to cooperation may be necessary, considering China's economic challenges and global pressures. Beijing hopes that Washington will begin to see the PRC more favorably.


Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO