South Africa’s Jacob Zuma wins court bid to contest upcoming election
Al JazeeraMAR 2024
Court Rules South Africa's Zuma Eligible for Election
Image copyright: Thomas Lohnes/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
As if Zuma being allowed to run for office despite an equivocal constitutional case against him wasn't enough, the court has so far outrageously avoided issuing its reasoning. It's urgent that the court explains how its verdict was reached, otherwise the electoral process will lack credibility.
Narrative B
The strict deadlines of the Electoral Commission prompted the court to issue a hurried order without reason. A written judgment is expected to be delivered next week. Yet, it's very likely that the main reason for this verdict is the fact that Pres. Cyril Ramaphosa handed Zuma a remission of sentence in a bid to avoid riots, effectively reducing his sentence.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 33% chance that the ANC will receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
