Russia-Ukraine war: Ukraine shoots down 13 drones as Russia attacks southern regions
GuardianMAR 2024
Europe Tightens Stadium Security Amid Soccer Terror Threats
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The Spin
Narrative A
While groups such as IS are extremely unlikely to unveil plans of terrorism prior to their occurrence, and this stunt was most likely a form of propaganda, recent events in Moscow highlight the necessity for European nations not to fall complacent when it comes to dealing with security threats. Although no attack materialized, the scare is a reminder of the potential danger that IS continues to hold across the continent.
Narrative B
Terrorism, especially the threat of terrorism, is the desperate act of a group unable to wage war. Performatively demonstrating strength through the response to these threats is just playing by the same rulebook as those who want to spread fear where violence would be ineffective. France and other European nations should avoid whipping up too much rhetoric, or risk overstating the influence of fanatic minorities in a stable and democratic Europe.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 33% of a terrorist attack occurring in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
