Fighting in Eastern Rafah Continues

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The Facts

  • Israeli forces continued to push forward over the weekend in the southern Gaza city of Rafah, with witnesses reporting strikes and street fighting as the Israeli military reinforced its control over neighborhoods east of the Salah al-Din road.

  • Hundreds of thousands of Palestinians already displaced by earlier military actions were forced to flee the area, and the Rafah Crossing — a critical access point for aid entering the strip — is still closed. Aid workers have reported that they are not prepared to receive so many people.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Israel must be able to defend itself from terrorist attacks from Gaza or elsewhere, and the US is committed to preventing malicious actors from threatening Israel's legitimate concerns. However, the humanitarian situation in Gaza has gotten out of hand, and the Biden administration will not support any further offensive action in Rafah. Netanyahu must keep his promises and work with US allies to find a resolution to this conflict.

Pro-Israel narrative

There is only one word to describe the Biden administration's current policy toward Israel — betrayal. At the climax of this war, Biden has unilaterally decided that the opinions of pro-Hamas fanatics are more important than Israel's legitimate security concerns. Other US allies should take heed.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Reflexive US support for Israel over the decades has finally culminated in a horrifying display of human brutality — mass famine against the Palestinian people. Besides moral consideration around supporting Israel's slaughter in Gaza, Israel has consistently proven time and time again that it is a bad ally that is highly unreliable. While American and Israeli interests continue to diverge, successive American leaders have failed to recalibrate. Now, the US is risking a disaster by supporting a rogue Israeli state.


Metaculus Prediction


Public figures in this story


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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