Former Maryland Gov. Hogan Running for US Senate

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    The Facts

    • Republican former governor of Maryland Larry Hogan on Friday announced via X, formerly Twitter, that he will run for one of the state's US Senate seats.

    • In his announcement, Hogan said he is running "not to serve one party — but to stand up to both parties, fight for Maryland, and fix our nation's broken politics."


    The Spin

    Republican narrative

    Hogan was a popular governor and his brand of bipartisanship obviously appealed to Maryland voters through two election cycles. Republicans should be celebrating the fact that Hogan might help them return to the Senate majority, and at the very least, Republicans will be putting up a fight for this seat.

    Democratic narrative

    Hogan might be popular, and he might be a moderate, but at the end of the day, he still holds views on several issues, including abortion access, that put him on the opposite side from most Democratic voters. This race might be competitive, but Democrats are still in the driver's seat in Maryland.


    Metaculus Prediction