Global Stocks Slump Amid Release of US Data

Image copyright: Jeenah Moon/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Global stock markets tanked overnight Thursday into Friday following the release of a US manufacturing survey and jobs report — both of which fell below market estimates.

  • According to a Thursday report from the Institute for Supply Management, US manufacturing — which makes up 10.3% of the economy — hit an eight-month low, with the Purchasing Managers' Index dipping to 46.8 from 48.5 in June. Any measure below 50 suggests a contraction in the market.


The Spin

Narrative A

Recent declines in the US stock market were an indication of a potential shift and the coming end of its boom. High interest rates have hurt debt-heavy companies and smaller businesses are facing declining revenues. Political and economic uncertainties do not create optimism. Most US stocks have not reflected the economy's once-exceptional economic growth for a while.

Narrative B

A correction was only waiting to happen after the US market's bull run. Stock market crashes don't happen often, and the current situation doesn't suggest an imminent crash of a major kind. Investors should focus on maintaining diversification, balancing portfolios, and sticking to long-term plans, as history shows that market dips often present valuable buying opportunities.


Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story