Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán Visits Moscow

Image copyright: Mikhail Svetlov/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

The West shouldn't trust Orbán, as he undermines its unity in Ukraine. Orbán's actions — such as blocking the EU's budget support for Kyiv — highlight his obstructionist agenda, and Hungary's EU presidency threatens European cohesion and values.

Establishment-critical narrative

The West's approach to international diplomacy is slow and ineffective. Orbán has advocated for faster, alternative solutions to achieving peace and suggested an immediate cease-fire between Ukraine and Russia to end the conflict. Meanwhile, the EU's current strategies have prolonged the war and caused instability.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that Hungary will leave the EU before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO