Militants attack bus in India-controlled Kashmir, kill 9 Hindu pilgrims, police say
CBSJUN 2024
India: Terrorist Attack Kills At Least 9 Hindu Pilgrims
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The Spin
Narrative A
Instead of bringing peace, India's move to rescind the erstwhile state of Jammu & Kashmir's autonomy and downgrade it to a union territory has revived terrorism in the region. This shameful incident accurately reflects the worrying security situation in an area widely considered militancy-free.
Narrative B
The attack is part of a nefarious design to spread unrest in Jammu & Kashmir after India successfully cracked down on militancy and separatist support systems in the region. It was likely a response by disgruntled terrorists to disrupt peace at a time when Narendra Modi was set to take oath as prime minister for a third straight term.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 50% chance that at least 22.7K deaths will be caused by terrorism globally in 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
