Israel Announces Daily 'Tactical Pause' In Gaza for Aid Delivery

Above: The Rafah border Image copyright: Ali Moustafa/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

The military's decision, taken without the Israeli war cabinet or Netanyahu's approval at a time when the best Israeli soldiers are being killed, will only bring Tel Aviv more dead and fallen. Israeli operation in southern Gaza is necessary to oust Hamas from its last major stronghold. Israel shouldn't let mounting international pressure divert from the goals of war.

Pro-establishment narrative

The daily tactical pause doesn't mean operations against Hamas in southern Gaza will stop. The pause in fighting followed talks with international aid agencies to ease the flow of humanitarian aid into Gaza in a specific area, as deliveries from the US-built pier were suspended. There's neither a change in the military's policy nor a halt in the war.

Pro-Palestine narrative

This pause is contrary to Israel's war cabinet's decisions, suggesting it could be a sham. Moreover, it isn't clear how the military will enable more aid to get distributed safely to the civilians, as aid convoys have been repeatedly attacked in recent weeks. However, if the tactical pause holds, it would help address some of the needs of beleaguered Palestinians facing catastrophic hunger and famine-like conditions.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 34% chance that Israel will recognize Palestine by 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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