Chaos erupts in Mexico after lawmakers pass judicial overhaul bill
NBCSEP 2024
Mexico's Senate Approves Regulations on Judicial Reform
Above: Ruling Morena Party senator Gerardo Fernandez Norona (C) and members of Mexico's Senate celebrate after they passed the controversial judicial reform at the Senate's chamber in Mexico City on Sept. 11, 2024. Image copyright: Cesar Sanchez/AFP via Getty Images
The Spin
Narrative A
This reform represents a long-standing and highly popular belief among the Mexican people. Critics may claim it will threaten judicial independence, but the truth is that wealthy special interests have controlled the courts for many years— blocking popular economic, energy, and corruption legislation. This corrupt status quo is about to end.
Narrative B
This reform is all but democratic, as the party behind it aims to use it as an authoritarian weapon. The ruling Morena party — the only real beneficiary of this law — wants to centralize control over both the civilian national guard and independent agencies and will use this newfound control over the judiciary to uphold its tyrannical policies.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 55% chance that the USMCA will be extended promptly at its July 2026 joint review, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
