Netanyahu: Israel Will Enter Rafah With or Without Hostage Deal

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The Facts

  • Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared on Tuesday that Israel will launch an operation into Rafah even if a hostage deal and cease-fire are agreed upon, saying that "the idea that we will stop the war before achieving all its objectives is out of the question."

  • Netanyahu's statement immediately followed a meeting with groups representing families of some slain soldiers and some of the families of hostages. The statement said that the groups asked the Prime Minister to "continue the war and resist international pressure to bring it to a conclusion."


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Israel must be able to defend itself from terrorist attacks from Gaza or elsewhere, and the US is committed to preventing malicious actors from threatening Israel's legitimate concerns. However, the Biden administration is losing its patience with Netanyahu's intransigence. The humanitarian situation in Gaza is rapidly getting out of hand, and the situation must be remedied. An Israeli offensive in Rafah would only make the situation worse.

Pro-Israel narrative

In these critical times, Israel's military is diligently preparing for the possibility of an offensive into Rafah to dismantle Hamas' remaining battalions. Israel has fought a noble fight against Hamas' terror, and it seems imperative that Israel enter Rafah and finish this once and for all. However, given the complexities of the situation, Israel will calculate its next moves carefully.

Pro-Palestine narrative

Regardless of whether Israel is allowed to enter Rafah or not, the US is responsible for the atrocities Israel has inflicted upon the Palestinians of Gaza. The Biden admin., worried about domestic political pressures, wants to make it seem as if it never supported this war when from the very beginning Israel has been dependent on the US in its campaign to destroy Gaza and starve its people.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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