Pakistan: High Court Judges Allege Coercion by Spy Agency

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The Spin

Narrative A

The judges bear witness to what is wrong with Pakistan and its democracy. The military and its intelligence services conspired with the US to have Imran Khan wrongfully dismissed from power because he refused to act as their puppet. They then fabricated allegations and pressed the courts to imprison him to guarantee he never again represented the will of the people. Will the Pakistani people stand by as the military steals what's left of Pakistan's democracy?

Narrative B

The army neither interferes in judicial affairs nor uses intimidatory tactics to coerce the judges. Khan, who used his position to undermine democracy, attempted to dissolve parliament to avoid a no-confidence vote, which led to his removal. He is currently using his position to push Pakistan towards civil war. The government and the judiciary must exercise caution to prevent the current political turmoil from escalating further.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 40% chance Pakistan will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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