Poll: Socialists' Lead Grows in Portugal Ahead of March Election

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Jan 23, 2024

Image copyright: Horacio Villalobos/Corbis News via Getty Imagesstory last updated Jan 24

The Facts

A new Intercampus poll for Correio da Manhã and Jornal de Negócios, released Tuesday, found that the Portuguese Socialist Party (PS) has expanded its lead ahead of the country’s snap general election of March 10, though projects it is still far from forming a majority in parliament.
Conducted between Jan. 16-20, the survey's 637 responses indicate that the PS has grown its support from 25.4% to 26.4% over the last month, while the second-placed center-right Democratic Alliance — which includes the Social Democratic Party (PSD) and the conservative CDS-PP — polled at 20.8%.

The Spin

Left narrative

Democracy will be on the ballot on March 10, as the only way to prevent Portugal from losing its hard-fought political stability and becoming hostage to the far right is to elect a socialist government. This unnecessary snap election, which was surprisingly called given the President of the Republic understood that the parliamentary majority had no right to propose a new prime minister, represents a huge risk to the nation's democracy.

The Portugal News

Right narrative

The Socialists have now caused major political turmoil in Portugal for a third time, and current behavior amounts to fear-mongering over a potential coalition between the center-right alliance and Chega. Even if conservatives come to win the popular vote and fail to form a majority in parliament, there's no possibility of joining forces with Chega.

Sul Informação

Establishment-critical narrative

Voters across Europe are fed up with the globalist establishment and are telling their leaders that enough is enough. This is why Chega is soaring to unforeseen heights despite the elite on both sides of the political aisle smearing Chega as “extreme.” As many are now ready to stand up for their sovereignty and against Portugal's corrupt two-party political establishment, Chega is capable of achieving a unprecedented victory in March.