Putin Says He Agreed to Navalny Prisoner Swap

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The Facts

  • Russian Pres. Vladimir Putin said Sunday that he supported a suggestion to free Alexei Navalny in a prisoner exchange days before the opposition leader died in prison last month.

  • Putin's comments, made after he won a record landslide in the presidential election on Sunday, marked the first time he has referenced Navalny by his name in years.


The Spin

Anti-Russia narrative

While Putin may have had unfavorable opinions about Navalny, suggestions that he may have been behind the opposition leader's death are false. These recent comments just go to show that Putin would have had no reason to kill Navalny, as a prisoner swap would have exiled Navalny from Russia while also bringing back a valuable Russian citizen imprisoned abroad.

Pro-Russia narrative

Putin's comments on the death of his largest opponent in the wake of his manufactured presidential "victory" are extremely ironic. He previously never used Navalny's name, and the fact that he chooses to do so now, after his death, proves that he no longer views Navalny as a threat. There was never going to be a Navalny prisoner exchange — Putin wanted him dead from the start.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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