Report: 39 Killed in Kenya’s Anti-Tax Protests

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The Facts

  • According to data released by the Kenya National Commission on Human Rights (KNCHR) on Monday, at least 39 people were killed and 361 were injured between June 18 and July 1 in nationwide protests over planned tax hikes.

  • The toll is believed to be almost double the figures previously reported by authorities. Kenya's national human rights body also reported 32 cases of "enforced or involuntary disappearances" and 627 arrests.


The Spin

Narrative A

Kenyan police have historically served political regimes, treating citizens, especially the poor and marginalized, as potential criminals. Pres. Ruto's recent praise for police, despite their violence, further erodes public trust. Kenya's constitution guarantees the right to protest, but inadequate policies result in continued human rights abuses.

Narrative B

The use of force against ferocious protesters was necessary to prevent criminals from exploiting peaceful protests to incite terror and ensure order and security amid a cost-of-living crisis. Violent acts against democratic institutions can't go unchecked as they undermine a nation's rule of law and stability and set a dangerous precedent.


Metaculus Prediction


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