High Court sees protests as Tories try to DERAIL legal case to stop UK arms sales to Israel – but FAIL
CanaryAPR 2024
Report: UK Continued Arms Sales to Israel Despite Legal Concerns
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The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
The UK has robust mechanisms to ensure that its arms exports, including to Israel, comply with international humanitarian law obligations. While some concerns will remain to be monitored, Israel has provided sufficient evidence to show its intent on complying with its obligations under international law. That's why David Cameron made the decision to continue existing deliveries, on the provision that further monitoring continues to happen.
Establishment-critical narrative
This is a deeply damaging story showing that the UK okayed further arms sales to Israel despite "serious concerns" from the UK Foreign Office that Israel was complying with international law. After the UK raised concerns with Israel, the Israeli response's failure to give more information about specific strikes led the Foreign Office to conclude that it didn't have enough information to make a judgement. It was then approved by David Cameron, who later misled lawmakers about the amount of legal advice available, despite these outstanding concerns.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 20% chance that the International Criminal Court will bring charges against a member of the Israeli government or Israeli Defense Force before 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
