Russia Claims Capture of Two Villages in Eastern Ukraine

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

While Russia claims to have taken control of these two villages, if confirmed, they do not represent any major change to the frontlines where fighting has largely stalled after two and a half years.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russia has liberated two more villages and its forces continue to eliminate Ukrainian fighters and equipment as they set the stage for further Russian advances in the coming weeks.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 22% chance that Russia will have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine by January 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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