Russia-North Korea Defense Pact Takes Effect

Above: Russian Minister of Defense, Andrey Belousov (2nd L) meets with his North Korean counterpart No Kwang Chol (2nd R) in Pyongyang, North Korea, on Nov. 29, 2024. Image copyright: RUS Defense Ministry/Vadim Savitsky/Contributor/Handout/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Russia and North Korea's comprehensive strategic partnership treaty came into force on Wednesday, requiring both nations to provide immediate military assistance if either faces an armed attack.

  • The treaty obligates both countries to oppose Western sanctions jointly and prevents either nation from entering agreements with third parties that could undermine their sovereignty. If either party wishes to end the deal, they must give one year's notice.


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

This defense pact highlights the united stance of Russia and North Korea against US aggression, ensuring mutual military support and rejecting Western sanctions. By strengthening their ties in defense, economics, and technology, both nations have demonstrated that Washington can no longer isolate or intimidate them. The era of Western bullying tactics is over as the globe moves towards a multipolar world.

Pro-establishment narrative

This growing alliance poses a severe threat to the region, but it can be thwarted. The West can isolate Russia's influence over Pyongyang by strengthening ties with Japan and South Korea, enhancing military deterrence, supporting Ukraine, and engaging with China in diplomacy. It can also counter North Korean communications to help undermine Kim Jong Un's dangerous narrative.


Metaculus Prediction


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Establishment split

CRITICAL

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