Four Oath Keepers members found guilty of obstruction in the far-right group's third Jan. 6 trial
NBCJUL 2023
SCOTUS Narrows Use of Obstruction Charge in Jan. 6 Cases
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The Spin
Republican narrative
SCOTUS has heroically defended those who entered the Capitol on Jan. 6 from the corrupt Biden DOJ's bad faith attempt to use the Enron charges against them. Hundreds of Trump supporters, who simply got caught up in a mob, were about to be turned into political prisoners just because the DOJ didn't like them, but now they can get justice.
Democratic narrative
Allegations that the DOJ used a broad brush with these charges are false. Out of the more than 1.2K criminals prosecuted for the Jan. 6 riots, only 300 or so were carefully chosen for these charges by the DOJ. They violently attacked the Capitol with the explicit motive of stopping the election certification, and thus should be punished as such.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 20% chance that Trump will be jailed or incarcerated before Jan. 1, 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
