Senegal parliament delays election until after opposition lawmakers are blocked from voting
PBS NewsHourFEB 2024
Senegal: President Pledges Election 'as Soon as Possible'
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The Spin
Narrative A
Given that Macky Sall has sought to extend his tenure beyond the constitutional limits, his vows to comply with the ruling from the top court in Senegal and hold presidential elections "as soon as possible" means little. As Sall will set the date for the vote, it wouldn't be surprising if the balloting only takes place long after his term has ended.
Narrative B
Despite baseless allegations against him, Sall has never aspired to be a dictator. His decisions regarding the upcoming elections were intended to strengthen Senegalese democracy for future generations and avoid worse electoral chaos amid escalating crises. Before heading to the polls, the nation must engage in dialogue to heal divisions and reduce tensions.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 15% chance that Senegal will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
