Pellegrini wins Slovak presidential election in boost for pro-Russian prime minister
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Slovakia Receives Over 1K Bomb Threats
The Spin
Anti-Russia narrative
This event is deeply concerning. Prime Minister Fico has dangerously cozied up to the Kremlin. Despite opposition Fico is veering Slovakia on the path to tilt to Moscow and limit support for Ukraine. Russian meddling in Slovakian society is a risk as Moscow yields more influence over the Eastern European nation.
Pro-Russia narrative
It's premature to blame Russia for disruptions in Slovakia — they could even be simple pranks. Moreover, it's the West that can be seen as essentially meddling in Slovakian politics by potentially cutting funding as punishment for Fico's warming of relations with Moscow. The EU's bullying of Fico's foreign policy must be closely monitored.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 4% chance Slovakia will be the subject of NATO action under Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty if NATO takes Article 5 action before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
