In the ruins of Gaza, children are starving to death and there's no cease-fire in sight
NBCMAR 2024
Spain Would Only Recognize Palestine State in Joint Action
The Spin
Pro-Israel narrative
A Palestinian state should only be recognized after a peace agreement with Israel is reached, which requires mutual recognition and compromise. UN member states should focus on fostering trust and respect between the parties rather than imposing outcomes. Prematurely recognizing Palestine undermines the efforts of UN members to promote the rule of law and the international legal order.
Pro-Palestine narrative
Although it's doubtful a Palestinian state would be viable in the face of Israel's ongoing military occupation, Spain seems ready to stand up for what's right. This decision makes perfect sense given Spain's historical and cultural ties to the Arab world and its commitment to humanitarianism. Governments across the West have expressed a desire for a two-state solution, but Spain is putting its money where its mouth is.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 34% chance Israel will recognize Palestine by January 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
