UK: Prime Minister Starmer Denies Choice Between US and EU

Above: Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer speaks during the annual Lord Mayor's Banquet at The Guildhall on Dec. 2, 2024 in London, England. Image copyright: Carl Court/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • During a speech on Monday evening, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer stated that it was "plain wrong" that the UK had to pick between closer relations with the US or the European Union (EU).

  • Speaking at the Lord Mayor's Banquet in London, Starmer stated that "the national interest demands that we work with both [the US and EU]," claiming that while its was necessary to "rebuild [UK] ties with Europe," relations with the US were "the cornerstone of [UK] security and [UK] prosperity."


The Spin

Left narrative

The UK should prioritize relations with the EU over the US, especially with Donald Trump’s reelection. His "America First" agenda undermines global stability, imposing tariffs on British goods and reducing support for Ukraine. In contrast, the EU offers a unified economic and political bloc with shared values. It can counterbalance Trump’s isolationist policies, protecting the UK from trade wars and ensuring stability in security, climate, and global challenges. Staying close to Europe is essential for the UK's future.

Right narrative

The UK should prioritize relations with the US over the EU, especially with the opportunity for a favorable trade deal under President Trump. The EU lacks the flexibility and speed needed for post-Brexit growth, while the US offers real economic advantages. Securing tariff exemptions would boost UK exports and create a unique opportunity the EU could never provide. It’s time to embrace the US and leave the EU’s limitations behind for a stronger, more independent future.


Metaculus Prediction


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