Taiwan Warns Citizens Not to Travel to China

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The Spin

Anti-China narrative

For the time being, Taiwanese nationals must avoid traveling — even for a transfer flight — to China and its semi-autonomous territories or taking a Chinese airline due to the risk of illegal arrests as Beijing moves to weaponize its judicial system against Taiwan. The international community must step in to stop the PRC from breaching international law.

Pro-China narrative

Taiwanese authorities have broadened the interpretation of new Chinese guidelines on imposing criminal punishments on separatists to deliberately mislead the public into believing that Beijing is now targeting everyone living on the island. That's utterly false, as the guidelines clearly focus on diehard secessionists.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 39% chance that the People's Republic of China will control at least half of Taiwan be fore 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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