Ukraine says Russia launched 67 drones in overnight attack
USA TodayAUG 2024
The Spin
Pro-establishment narrative
Despite not meeting all its objectives, Ukraine's Kursk offensive was audacious and succeeded in turning around some of the preconceived narratives about how Ukraine was faring in the conflict. It also brought the war home to Russia, making them see the consequences of launching its invasion more than two-and-a-half years ago.
Establishment-critical narrative
Although it started with success, Ukraine's incursion into Kursk has turned into an open-ended occupation that Russia will easily repel. Rather than take the pressure off troops in Ukraine's east, Russian forces are in fact now advancing at a faster rate than they did previously. This offensive may turn out to be a giant mistake.
Metaculus Prediction
There is a 25% chance that Russia will have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine by January 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
