UK Elections: Second Reform UK Candidate Defects to Tories

Above: June 29: Supporters of Nigel Farage hold a counter protest against groups gathered to campaign against Reform UK in Clacton-on-Sea, England. Image copyright: Guy Smallman/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Facts

  • Reform UK candidate Georgie David, who had been running for the constituency of West Ham and Beckton, has suspended her party candidacy and defected to the Conservative Party, accusing now-former colleagues of being "racist, misogynistic and bigoted."

  • While stating that the "vast majority" of Reform candidates were "bigoted," David denied this applied to "the party and its senior leadership." This is in contrast to Liam Booth-Isherwood, who cited Reform leader Nigel Farage's behavior as he defected to the Tories two days prior.


The Spin

Tory narrative

No one knows how Reform will do in this election but what many do know is that the party has turned itself into a fringe movement very quickly. While Farage thought that his scandalous statements on Ukraine and his party's continual flow of bigotry could be swept under the rug, voters come election day will likely turn their noses up to Reform's culture of hatred.

Reform narrative

Per usual, the media is trying to cherry-pick a handful of statements made by a couple of candidates and blame Nigel Farage and the entire party. In reality, some of these statements were made before Farage took charge, and those that were recently made were immediately condemned by the party's leadership. If Reform was so racist, why would the polls show it having more minority votes than the Liberal Democrats?


Metaculus Prediction


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