UK Government to Ban Disposable Vapes

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The Spin

Narrative A

Vaping is addictive and causes people to inhale harmful chemicals whose long-term impacts have not been fully studied. This law is a step in the right direction toward preventing children from vaping.

Narrative B

It's reasonable of course to restrict access to vaping products for children. That said, it's important to be wary of alarmist state overreach — like installing anti-vape sensors and close-circuit televisions in schools that bring up serious privacy concerns.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that a country will implement a total civilian ban on the consumption and smoking of tobacco by June 2033, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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