The Facts

  • Weeks of escalating Russian missile and drone attacks are stretching Ukraine's air defense resources, Yurii Ihnat, a spokesman for Ukraine's Air Force said in a nationally broadcast interview on Tuesday.

  • "Intense Russian air attacks force us to use a corresponding amount of air defense means," Ihnat said. "That's why we need more of them, as Russia keeps increasing its (air) attack capabilities." He added that Ukraine is completely dependent on its Western allies for air defense missiles, both for Western- and Soviet-made systems.


The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Russia's continuing missile and drone attacks are continuing to deplete Ukraine's missile defenses. Ukraine is dependent on its allies for munitions for these defenses, so it's imperative that fresh supplies are delivered imminently.

Pro-establishment narrative

Just as it has done throughout the conflict, the US has been in close contact with its Ukrainian partners, working together to address challenges. On Monday, the White House met with leaders from various defense and technology industries to plug Ukraine's air defense deficiencies, as well as solutions to counter Russia's unmanned aerial systems.

Pro-Russia narrative

These are hard times in Russia, but even Europe's leading economies have struggled in recent times. What's important is that we are on the rise, and they are on the decline. Because as we show the world we can be fully self-sufficient, Europe's problems are only becoming more entrenched.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO