Britain to Join France in Largest War Games Since Cold War

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    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    The West must enhance its readiness for a clash with Moscow as Russia's invasion of Ukraine has revealed that the Kremlin is prone to engage in direct military confrontation across Europe. As the risk of a high-intensity war has returned to the Continent, military exercises like Orion are needed since any peace deal with Moscow will be only a temporary ceasefire.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    NATO creates confrontation with outside nations to fabricate enmities and justify its existence. The alliance is already largely responsible for provoking the war in Ukraine by carrying out a clandestine expansion to Kyiv following the 2014 coup, despite Moscow's well-founded national security concerns. These war games are more provocation that risk further heightening tensions.

    Cynical narrative

    Both Russia and the West are pursuing dangerous policies and actions that are driving the world ever closer to nuclear war. Both sides must reconsider their approaches now and act decisively to prevent catastrophe before it's too late.

    Metaculus Prediction


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