Day 299: Putin Heads to Belarus as Russian Drones Again Rock Kyiv

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin


Narrative A

Russia is undoubtedly planning to step up its attacks and widen its aggression against Ukraine in the New Year. Due to the weakened state of Moscow's forces, Russia's military aims will necessitate greater involvement from the armed forces of Belarus.


Narrative B

The Belarusian Pres. has repeatedly said he will not commit forces to fight in Ukraine and, even if reinforced by Belarus, Russia lacks the capability to plan and execute a large-scale military offensive in the coming months.


Metaculus Prediction


Public Figures


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!