Day 262: White House Hails 'Extraordinary Victory' for Ukraine in Kherson

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin

Narrative A

Ukraine is demonstrating that, with continued Western military aid, it's able to drive Russian forces out of its territories. This bolsters the argument that support needs to be maintained until a total Russian defeat is achieved.

Narrative B

Retaking parts of Kherson is one thing; recapturing the rest of the region alongside Luhansk, Donetsk, and Crimea is another. Ukraine's gains should be used to leverage Kyiv's negotiating position to bring a swift end to this conflict — it should not be treated as a justification to drag out the war.

Metaculus Prediction


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